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AI-Assisted Two-Year Jail Population Forecast

Accountable
Department of Correction (DOC)
Functional Modes
Deciding (Analytical AI)
Human decides
Purpose
Planning & Decision-making
Input Dataset
Operational data Anonymized data
Algorithm or Model
Classification & Prediction
Output Dataset
About a measurement Anonymized data

This system uses 12 years of historical data to project the New York City jail population on a daily basis for the next two years, along with estimated uncertainty ranges for each day. It is used by the NYC Department of Correction for high-level planning and budget decisions. The system does not make decisions about individuals — it forecasts aggregate population levels to support resource allocation. Forecasts are published publicly every six months.

Sources for this disclosure

This disclosure was drafted with AI assistance.

Schema: ai@2026-05-06-beta